A-Choice
物流行业亚甄研究院 · 2026年10月23日

台风蔷琵逼停华东主要口岸:停港三天的账,复港一周后才结清

超强台风蔷琵逼停上海、宁波、舟山、厦门等华东口岸,长江口引航暂停至10月26日。停港本身只是开始,复港后的引航排队、堆场疏解与闸口重排才是交期风险的主要来源。

台风蔷琵逼停华东主要口岸:停港三天的账,复港一周后才结清

10月21日凌晨,今年第30号台风蔷琵(Champi)中心位于台北东南约750公里海面,中心附近最大风力达到55米/秒,属超强台风级别。它并未直接登陆,但走的是对华东出口最不利的一条路径:先在台湾以东海域转向,再贴着浙江外海北上。10月22日8时,国家防总与应急管理部对上海、浙江、福建启动防汛防台四级应急响应,浙江海事部门同步进入防台状态。

港口是按响应等级分批关闭的,不是一刀切。长江口自10月21日7时起暂停引航,进江船舶同时停航;10月23日8时起,江内港口船舶不得再向长江口方向开航,预计10月26日恢复。曹泾自10月21日18时起关闭。舟山、宁波、温州、台州、厦门自10月22日起按三级响应关闭;宁德、莆田、福州、泉州从10月21日夜间起关闭。北方港口是另一套原因——大风,锦州、京唐、曹妃甸、秦皇岛、黄骅、天津、董家口、日照、岚山、连云港、大丰均出现闭港。

停港之前,拥堵已经在发生。市场人士反馈上海与宁波两港此前已有约四天延误,并判断台风过后扰动还会扩大,港口受影响的时间可能持续一到两周,运价也可能随之上行。部分承运人已开始跳港以避开拥堵,北亚与东南亚至澳洲航线的舱位因此进一步收紧。上海港9月刚以513.5万TEU创下单月纪录,同比增长6.2%,堆场本就处在高位,这让复港后的疏解更难。

真正贵的不是停的那两三天。复港之后,积压的船舶要按引航顺序排队进港,堆场要腾出位置才能接新箱,闸口要重新分配拖车时段,支线船要重新衔接干线船期。上海、宁波这类枢纽港,一次三天的停摆通常需要五到七天才能把作业节奏拉回正常;如果赶上10月23日至25日江南东部与江淮的强降雨,陆侧集卡还会再被压一轮。

对从华东起运的出口货,这一周的动作顺序建议这样排。

第一,把订舱确认件上的ETD当作参考值而不是承诺值。已在途或已进港的箱子,先向承运人确认实际挂靠港与是否跳港,再通知海外买方调整提货或仓储安排。跳港一旦发生,目的港会从原定港口改为邻近港口,陆运段的责任与费用归属要当场问清。

第二,用关闭窗口反推装船日。宁波、舟山、厦门按三级响应自10月22日关闭,长江口预计10月26日恢复;如果货必须赶上某条船的截关,先算复港日、排队天数、集港拖车这三段,再决定是否改走其他口岸或推迟一周。硬赶截关的结果往往是箱子进了港、船却没靠上。

第三,危险品与冷藏货单独处理。台风期间码头对危险品堆场的管理更严,冷藏箱在断电或转堆过程中的风险最高。这两类货应提前向码头确认插电位置与转堆安排,并把可能产生的制冷费、转堆费、滞港费在报价时单列。

第四,把不可抗力条款落到纸面。台风属于典型的不可抗力情形,但不可抗力免的是责任,不免费用。合同里要写清因天气导致的滞箱费、堆存费、改港费由谁承担,以及船期顺延超过多少天可以无条件改配或退关。这一条在旺季比价格更值钱。

台风路径还在变。10月24日至25日它才会真正影响中国海岸,10月26日之后才能看清实际扰动幅度。对货主来说,这两天不是等消息的时候,而是把上面四件事提前做完的时候——等复港通知出来再动作,抢到的只会是排在最后的那个舱位。

English Version / 英文版

Typhoon Champi Shuts East China Gateways: The Real Bill Arrives a Week After Reopening

At 5 a.m. on 21 October, this year's 30th typhoon, Champi, was centred about 750 km southeast of Taipei with maximum sustained winds near the centre of 55 metres per second, putting it in the super typhoon category. It is not expected to make direct landfall, but its track is the worst possible one for exporters in East China: a turn east of Taiwan followed by a northward run close to the Zhejiang coast.

On 22 October, China's national flood control and drought relief headquarters and the Ministry of Emergency Management activated a Level IV emergency response for Shanghai, Zhejiang and Fujian, and Zhejiang's maritime authorities moved into typhoon-response mode.

Ports are closing in batches according to response level, not all at once. Pilotage at the Yangtze estuary was suspended from 07:00 on 21 October, and inbound river traffic stopped with it. From 08:00 on 23 October, vessels in river ports are barred from sailing towards the estuary, with resumption expected on 26 October. Caojing closed at 18:00 on 21 October. Zhoushan, Ningbo, Wenzhou, Taizhou and Xiamen moved to Level III response with closures from 22 October; Ningde, Putian, Fuzhou and Quanzhou closed from the night of 21 October. Northern ports are shut for a different reason - strong winds - with closures reported at Jinzhou, Jingtang, Caofeidian, Qinhuangdao, Huanghua, Tianjin, Dongjiakou, Rizhao, Lanshan, Lianyungang and Dafeng.

Congestion was building before the closures. Market participants report delays of around four days at Shanghai and Ningbo already, and expect disruption to widen once the typhoon passes, with ports affected for one to two weeks and freight rates potentially rising. Some carriers have begun omitting calls to avoid congestion, tightening space further on the North Asia and Southeast Asia to Australia lane. Shanghai handled a record 5.135 million TEU in September, up 6.2% year on year, so yards went into this week already full - which makes the post-typhoon clear-out harder.

The expensive part is not the two or three days of closure. Once ports reopen, backed-up vessels queue for pilots in sequence, yards must free slots before accepting new boxes, gates have to reallocate truck windows, and feeder services must reconnect with mother vessels. At a hub like Shanghai or Ningbo, a three-day stoppage typically takes five to seven days to return to normal rhythm. Add the heavy rain forecast for eastern Jiangnan and Jianghuai from 23 to 25 October, and landside trucking takes another hit.

For export cargo moving out of East China, the sequence of actions this week matters more than the price you book at.

First, treat the ETD on your booking confirmation as an estimate, not a commitment. For boxes already in transit or already gated in, confirm the actual port of call and whether a omission has been declared before telling your buyer to adjust pick-up or warehousing. If a call is omitted, the discharge port shifts to a neighbouring port, and responsibility plus cost for the inland leg must be settled on the spot.

Second, work backwards from the closure window to your loading date. Ningbo, Zhoushan and Xiamen are closed from 22 October under Level III response, and the Yangtze estuary is expected to reopen on 26 October. If cargo must catch a specific cutoff, add up the reopening date, the queue days and the trucking window before deciding whether to switch ports or slip a week. Forcing a cutoff usually ends with the box in the terminal and the ship somewhere else.

Third, handle dangerous goods and reefer cargo separately. Terminal supervision of DG yards tightens during typhoons, and reefer boxes carry the highest risk during power interruptions or restacking. Confirm plug-in positions and restacking plans with the terminal in advance, and quote reefer power, restacking and storage charges as separate line items.

Fourth, put the force majeure clause in writing. Typhoons are a textbook force majeure event, but force majeure excuses liability, not cost. The contract should state who bears detention, storage and re-routing charges caused by weather, and how many days of schedule slippage triggers a free re-booking or cancellation right. In peak season, that clause is worth more than a few dollars off the rate.

The track is still moving. Champi only reaches the Chinese coast on 24-25 October, and the real scale of disruption will not be clear before 26 October. For shippers, these two days are not for waiting on news - they are for finishing the four steps above. Move after the reopening notice lands, and the only slot left will be at the back of the queue.

需要这条航线的运价与舱位方案?
提交起运港与目的港,10 秒获取参考运价,专人跟进未命中航线
立即询价
返回行业洞察